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Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania?

Pays out if the result is 76 or more.

Compare venues

Chance

19%

Buy Yes

23¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

85¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

8¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 days agoBought no at 78¢$156

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Bureau of Commissions, Elections and Legislation, Department of State, Harrisburg, PA, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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