Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.