Skip to content
Back to eventKalshiKalshi · Elections

Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Genesee County, Michigan?

Pays out if the result is 52 or more.

Compare venues

Chance

57%

Buy Yes

60¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

47¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$46

as Kalshi reports it · 1 fills

Spread

7¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 22 hours ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 55¢300$165
  • 24¢49$12
  • 23¢37$9
  • 13¢37$5
  • 10¢83$8

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 64¢200$128
  • 85¢76$65
  • 86¢75$65
  • 90¢112$101
  • 95¢45$43
Spread
9¢
Mid
59.5¢
Microprice
60.4¢
Within 5¢
$165 · $72
More money on NoImbalance +39%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 64¢$29
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 58¢$27
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 57¢$27
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 58¢$116
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 57¢$24
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 57¢$599
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 57¢$479
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 58¢$116

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Elections Bureau, Office of the Secretary of State, Lansing, MI, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Genesee County, Michigan is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

Keep going