Skip to content
Back to eventKalshiKalshi · Elections

Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan?

Pays out if the result is 48 or more.

Compare venues

Chance

92%

Buy Yes

95¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

12¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

7¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated yesterday

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 86¢300$258
  • 61¢21$13
  • 60¢50$30
  • 5¢28$1
  • 2¢49$0

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 94¢3$3
  • 95¢201$191
  • 98¢70$69
  • 99¢100$99
Spread
8¢
Mid
90¢
Microprice
93.9¢
Within 5¢
$258 · $13
More money on NoImbalance +91%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 2 days agoSold yes at 88¢$104
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 83¢$498
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 83¢$88
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 83¢$98
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 83¢$166
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 83¢$166

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Elections Bureau, Office of the Secretary of State, Lansing, MI, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kent County, Michigan is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

Keep going