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Will James Talarico receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Dallas County, Texas?

Pays out if the result is 72 or more.

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Chance

10%

Buy Yes

13¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

92¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$210

as Kalshi reports it · 2 fills

Spread

5¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 20 hours ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 12¢10$1
  • 11¢200$22
  • 3¢220$7
  • 2¢604$12
  • 1¢100$1

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 19¢100$19
  • 20¢200$40
  • 61¢34$20
  • 62¢460$285
  • 95¢35$33
Spread
7¢
Mid
15.5¢
Microprice
12.6¢
Within 5¢
$23 · $241
More money on NoImbalance -82%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 16 hours agoBought no at 89¢$178
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 88¢$9
  • yesterdayBought no at 86¢$86
  • yesterdayBought no at 81¢$77
  • yesterdayBought no at 81¢$486
  • yesterdayBought no at 80¢$80
  • yesterdayBought no at 81¢$162
  • yesterdayBought no at 81¢$162
  • 2 days agoBought no at 81¢$8

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Dallas County Elections Department, Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Dallas County, Texas is 72% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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