Will Ned Lamont receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ned Lamont in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ned Lamont ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Ned Lamont across all certified ballot lines are combined.