Will Bruce Blakeman receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bruce Blakeman in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bruce Blakeman ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Bruce Blakeman across all certified ballot lines are combined.