Will Kathy Hochul receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Kathy Hochul in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Kathy Hochul ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Kathy Hochul across all certified ballot lines are combined.