Will Chris Shea receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-05 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Chris Shea in the 2026 CT-05 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Chris Shea ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Chris Shea across all certified ballot lines are combined.