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Will Dillan Vancil receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-17 House election?

Pays out if the result is 38 or more.

Chance

77%

Buy Yes

82¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

27¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

9¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Illinois State Board of Elections, Springfield, IL, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dillan Vancil in the 2026 IL-17 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Dillan Vancil ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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