Will Paul LePage receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul LePage in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul LePage ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.