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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Ronald Russell receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election?

Pays out if the result is 38 or more.

Chance

29%

Buy Yes

33¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

76¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronald Russell in the first round of the 2026 ME-01 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ronald Russell ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.