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Will Max Ganorkar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-04 House election?

Pays out if the result is 20 or more.

Chance

68%

Buy Yes

72¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

37¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

9¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by State Board of Elections & Ethics Enforcement, Raleigh, NC, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Max Ganorkar in the 2026 NC-04 House election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Max Ganorkar ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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