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Will Laura Jones receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-08 House election?

Pays out if the result is 42 or more.

Chance

31%

Buy Yes

36¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

73¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

9¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 23 seconds ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Austin, TX, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Laura Jones in the 2026 TX-08 House election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Laura Jones ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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