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Will Ronald Whitfield receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-18 House election?

Pays out if the result is 12 or more.

Chance

92%

Buy Yes

96¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

13¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

9¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Austin, TX, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronald Whitfield in the 2026 TX-18 House election is 12% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ronald Whitfield ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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