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Will Tom Sell receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-19 House election?

Pays out if the result is 78 or more.

Chance

7%

Buy Yes

10¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

7¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Austin, TX.

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Sell in the 2026 TX-19 House election is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Tom Sell ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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