Kalshi · Elections

Will Mark Teixeira receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-21 House election?

Pays out if the result is 54 or more.

Chance

66%

Buy Yes

70¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

39¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

9¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided

Settled by Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Austin, TX, official government website of. Contract terms (PDF)

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Teixeira in the 2026 TX-21 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mark Teixeira ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Rule history

First recordedNo changes since.Sep 14, 5:30 PM UTC