Kalshi· Elections

Will Taylor Wright receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-04 House election?

Pays out if the result is 4 or more.

Chance

24%

Buy Yes

28¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

81¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Taylor Wright in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Taylor Wright ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.