Will Susan Collins receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Susan Collins in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Susan Collins ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.