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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Troy Jackson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election?

Pays out if the result is 46 or more.

Chance

76%

Buy Yes

80¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

29¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Troy Jackson in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Troy Jackson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.