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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will John Larson receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary?

Pays out if the result is 52 or more.

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 59 seconds ago. Ends Aug 11, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.