Will Karishma Manzur receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karishma Manzur in the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.