Will AfD receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by AfD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the Alternative for Germany's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.