Will Moderate Party receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Moderate Party in the 2026 Swedish general election is 18% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the share of the vote received by the Moderate Party in the election to the Riksdag. It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution uses Valmyndigheten's final certified result, NOT the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts. Votes cast in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count Invalid, spoiled, blank and rejected ballots are excluded from the denominator