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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will satisfaction with wage compensation fall below 52.3% in 2026?

Pays out if the result is below 52.3.

Chance

77%

Buy Yes

79¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

26¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Nov 16, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If any 2026 NY Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations Labor Market Survey reports that satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs is below 52.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “wage satisfaction” means the NY Fed SCE Labor Market Survey measure for satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs. The March 2026 value of 52.3% will be treated as the existing series low. A value equal to 52.3% will not be sufficient for this market to resolve Yes; the reported value must be strictly below 52.3%.