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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Chicago, IL before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 24 seconds ago. Ends Dec 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Chicago, IL before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Chicago, IL, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Chicago, IL may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Chicago, IL Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Chicago, IL limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Chicago, IL Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Chicago, IL Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Chicago, IL Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Chicago, IL All Waymo vehicles in Chicago, IL have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2027