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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

18¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Detroit, MI before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Detroit, MI, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Detroit, MI may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Detroit, MI Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Detroit, MI limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Detroit, MI Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Detroit, MI Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Detroit, MI Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Detroit, MI All Waymo vehicles in Detroit, MI have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2027