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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

70%

Buy Yes

89¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

49¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 82¢$33
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 86¢$3
  • yesterdaySold yes at 85¢$9
  • yesterdaySold yes at 86¢$9
  • yesterdayBought no at 16¢$2
  • yesterdayBought no at 16¢$3
  • yesterdayBought no at 20¢$1
  • yesterdayBought no at 32¢$1
  • yesterdayBought no at 31¢$3
How this market is decidedShow

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Las Vegas, NV before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Las Vegas, NV, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Las Vegas, NV may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Las Vegas, NV Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Las Vegas, NV limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Las Vegas, NV Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Las Vegas, NV Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Las Vegas, NV Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Las Vegas, NV All Waymo vehicles in Las Vegas, NV have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2027