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Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?

Chance

55%

Buy Yes

59¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

49¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

8¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Oct 28, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by City of Winnipeg, or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections, in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission, constitutional court. Contract terms (PDF)

If Scott Gillingham wins the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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