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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?

Chance

40%

Buy Yes

45¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

65¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the U.S. Department of the Interior or the U.S. National Park Service announces an agreement to transfer federal land within Yosemite National Park or an easement over that land to Kingsbarn Realty Capital or an entity it controls in exchange for land before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An official announcement that the agency has agreed to the exchange counts, even if signing, closing, or implementation will occur later. Official signing or issuance of the exchange agreement by authorized agency officials also counts as an announcement. Either a transfer of land ownership or the grant of an easement qualifies. The land must be federally owned and within Yosemite National Park at Issuance. A proposal, ongoing negotiations, an appraisal, environmental review, or a statement that an exchange is being considered does not count. An announcement by Kingsbarn alone does not count. The announcement date governs, not the date of conveyance, recordation, or construction.