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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Which countries will have recessions?

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

2.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If China has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The exact dataset for China is GDP, Nominal, Unadjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.