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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Which countries will have recessions?

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96.5¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The exact dataset for United Kingdom is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.