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António Guterres out by December 31?

Chance

27%

Buy Yes

35¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

81¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$15

as Polymarket reports it · 1 fills

Spread

16¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 17 hours agoBought No at 61¢$3
  • yesterdayBought No at 48.2¢$6

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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