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Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?

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Chance

53%

Buy Yes

55¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

49¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$793

as Polymarket reports it · 7 fills

Spread

4¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 4:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 5 minutes agoBought Down at 49¢$46
  • 4 hours agoBought Down at 51¢$3
  • 4 hours agoBought Down at 51¢$61
  • 4 hours agoBought Down at 51¢$3
  • 4 hours agoBought Down at 50.7¢$5
  • 11 hours agoBought Down at 51¢$2
  • 11 hours agoBought Up at 51¢$1
  • 19 hours agoBought Up at 51¢$5

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT. Source on Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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