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Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 21?

Chance

90%

Buy Yes

91¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

11¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$2.6K

as Polymarket reports it · 4 fills

Spread

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 18 minutes ago. Ends Sep 21, 8:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 7 seconds ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 89¢5$4
  • 72¢100$72
  • 71¢21$15
  • 69¢15$10
  • 59¢26$15

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 91¢25$23
  • 94¢79$74
  • 96¢425$408
  • 97¢32$32
  • 98¢70$68
Spread
Mid
90¢
Microprice
89.3¢
Within 5¢
$4 · $24
More money on NoImbalance -69%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 59 minutes agoBought Up at 80¢$12
  • 3 hours agoBought Up at 81¢$81
  • 3 hours agoBought Up at 81¢$81
  • 3 hours agoBought Up at 81¢$1

Rules

How this market is decided

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Monday, September 21, 2026 is higher than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for Dow Jones (DJIA) on Monday, September 21, 2026 is lower than the official Dow Jones Industrial Average closing price for DJIA on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If DJIA does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Dow Jones Industrial Average for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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