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Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1.6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$76

as Polymarket reports it · 3 fills

Spread

1¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 34 minutes ago. Ends Sep 21, 4:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought No at 99.7¢$6
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 99.7¢$5
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 99¢$5

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by https://x.com/elonmusk. Source on Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 19 12:00 PM ET to September 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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