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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 22?

Chance

18%

Buy Yes

21¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

85¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$588

as Polymarket reports it · 24 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 21 minutes agoBought Yes at 16.5¢$3
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 87¢$2
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 87¢$1
  • 3 hours agoSold No at 73.9¢$30
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 85¢$6
  • 3 hours agoSold No at 74.9¢$15
  • 3 hours agoSold No at 76.7¢$23
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 84¢$4
  • 3 hours agoSold No at 78.1¢$35
  • 3 hours agoSold No at 80.3¢$16

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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