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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21?

Chance

<1%

Buy Yes

0.1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$5.6K

as Polymarket reports it · 102 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Sep 21, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 7 hours ago

Buy Yes (bids)

Nothing resting

    Sell Yes (asks)

    • 0.1¢1,841$2
    • 0.3¢291$0
    • 0.5¢10$0
    • 0.8¢305$2
    • 0.9¢147$1
    Spread
    Mid
    Microprice
    Within 5¢
    $0 · $2.7K
    More money on NoImbalance -100%More money on Yes

    Latest trades

    • 7 hours agoSold No at 99.9¢$8
    • 7 hours agoSold No at 99.9¢$5
    • 8 hours agoSold No at 99.9¢$317
    • 8 hours agoSold No at 99.9¢$2
    • 8 hours agoBought No at 99.9¢$12
    • 8 hours agoSold No at 99.8¢$54
    • 8 hours agoBought No at 99.9¢$5
    • 8 hours agoSold Yes at 0.1¢$0
    • 8 hours agoBought No at 99.8¢$20
    • 8 hours agoBought Yes at $0

    Rules

    This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

    Rule history

    1. First recordedNo changes since.

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