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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?

Chance

24%

Buy Yes

26¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

79¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$5.7K

as Polymarket reports it · 191 fills

Spread

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 25 minutes ago. Ends Sep 21, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 3 hours ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 33¢20$7
  • 32¢225$72
  • 31¢40$12
  • 30¢100$30
  • 22¢30$7

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 35¢25$9
  • 36¢11$4
  • 37¢10$4
  • 38¢41$15
  • 39¢125$49
Spread
Mid
34¢
Microprice
33.9¢
Within 5¢
$121 · $131
More money on NoImbalance -4%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 52 minutes agoSold No at 74¢$4
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 70¢$4
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 68¢$17
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 68¢$20
  • 4 hours agoBought No at 64¢$3
  • 4 hours agoBought No at 64¢$3
  • 4 hours agoBought No at 64¢$6
  • 4 hours agoBought No at 63.5¢$13
  • 5 hours agoBought Yes at 39¢$2
  • 5 hours agoBought No at 63¢$6

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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