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Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 20?

Chance

21%

Buy Yes

24¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

82¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$462

as Polymarket reports it · 23 fills

Spread

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Prices from Polymarket, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 11 minutes agoSold Yes at 18¢$2
  • 26 minutes agoBought Yes at 20¢$1
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 75¢$2
  • 3 hours agoBought Yes at 36¢$2
  • 3 hours agoBought Yes at 22¢$1
  • 3 hours agoBought Yes at 22¢$7
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 82¢$4
  • 3 hours agoBought Yes at 21¢$2
  • 3 hours agoBought Yes at 21¢$10
  • 3 hours agoBought Yes at 21¢$1

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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