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Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?

Chance

45%

Buy Yes

46¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

55¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$2.6K

as Polymarket reports it · 87 fills

Spread

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 4 seconds ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 45¢6$3
  • 44¢164$72
  • 43¢458$197
  • 42¢300$126
  • 39¢125$49

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 46¢203$93
  • 47¢1,407$661
  • 48¢14,902$7.2K
  • 49¢4,583$2.2K
  • 50¢203$101
Spread
Mid
45.5¢
Microprice
45¢
Within 5¢
$398 · $11.1K
More money on NoImbalance -93%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 34 minutes agoBought No at 55¢$6
  • 5 hours agoBought No at 54¢$3
  • 5 hours agoBought No at 54¢$3
  • 5 hours agoBought Yes at 48¢$14
  • 5 hours agoBought No at 54¢$10
  • 5 hours agoBought No at 54¢$3
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 47¢$2
  • 7 hours agoSold Yes at 45¢$0
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 45¢$20
  • 8 hours agoBought Yes at 45¢$1

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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