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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 20?

Chance

42%

Buy Yes

43¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

60¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$3.4K

as Polymarket reports it · 18 fills

Spread

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 51 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 1 minute ago · feed disconnected

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 40¢276$110
  • 39¢200$78
  • 38¢1,234$469
  • 37¢12$4
  • 34¢11$4

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 43¢229$98
  • 44¢45$20
  • 45¢5$2
  • 46¢5$2
  • 51¢73$37
Spread
Mid
41.5¢
Microprice
41.6¢
Within 5¢
$662 · $161
More money on NoImbalance +61%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought No at 58¢$12
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 58¢$3
  • 6 hours agoSold Yes at 37.9¢$9
  • 6 hours agoSold Yes at 40.5¢$8
  • 6 hours agoSold Yes at 41¢$8
  • 6 hours agoSold Yes at 42.6¢$264
  • 6 hours agoBought No at 59¢$51
  • 6 hours agoBought Yes at 45¢$1
  • 6 hours agoBought Yes at 45¢$5
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 48¢$1

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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