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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?

Chance

22%

Buy Yes

24¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

80¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$418

as Polymarket reports it · 7 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Sep 19, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 54 minutes agoBought No at 73¢$4
  • 58 minutes agoBought Yes at 28¢$2
  • 59 minutes agoBought No at 73¢$5
  • 59 minutes agoBought No at 73¢$1
  • 59 minutes agoSold No at 70.4¢$14
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 25¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 34.8¢$70

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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