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Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22?

Chance

48%

Buy Yes

49¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

54¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$1.7K

as Polymarket reports it · 38 fills

Spread

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 36 seconds ago · feed disconnected

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 46¢352$162
  • 45¢72$32
  • 44¢26,842$11.8K
  • 26¢19$5
  • 23¢2,189$503

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 49¢19$9
  • 50¢160$80
  • 51¢5$3
  • 53¢6$3
  • 54¢10$5
Spread
Mid
47.5¢
Microprice
48.8¢
Within 5¢
$12K · $100
More money on NoImbalance +98%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoBought No at 48¢$1
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 48¢$5
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 47¢$2
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 47¢$6
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 47¢$3
  • 4 hours agoBought No at 48¢$2
  • 4 hours agoBought Yes at 53¢$20
  • 5 hours agoBought No at 48¢$30
  • 7 hours agoBought No at 46.3¢$30
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 56¢$1

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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