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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20?

Chance

26%

Buy Yes

27¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

76¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$105

as Polymarket reports it · 3 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 56 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 25.4¢$10
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 24¢$1
  • 4 hours agoBought No at 73¢$1

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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