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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 20?

Chance

32%

Buy Yes

40¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

76¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$383

as Polymarket reports it · 20 fills

Spread

16¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 38 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 40¢$2
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 61¢$5
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 38¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 63¢$6
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 40¢$6
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 38¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 36¢$7
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 63¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 38¢$3
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 74¢$1

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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