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Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 20?

Chance

53%

Buy Yes

55¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

49¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$514

as Polymarket reports it · 29 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 16 minutes agoBought No at 49¢$1
  • 17 minutes agoBought Yes at 55¢$4
  • 18 minutes agoBought Yes at 52¢$2
  • 18 minutes agoBought Yes at 52¢$5
  • 18 minutes agoBought Yes at 52¢$3
  • 18 minutes agoBought Yes at 52¢$3
  • 18 minutes agoBought Yes at 51.6¢$9
  • 18 minutes agoBought Yes at 50¢$5
  • 18 minutes agoBought Yes at 50¢$1
  • 18 minutes agoBought Yes at 50¢$3

Rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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