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S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 18?

Chance

68%

Buy Yes

85¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

49¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$240

as Polymarket reports it · 7 fills

Spread

34¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 16 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 8:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 27 minutes agoBought Down at 49¢$5
  • 27 minutes agoBought Down at 49¢$5
  • 42 minutes agoBought Down at 49¢$5
  • 42 minutes agoBought Down at 49¢$5
  • 43 minutes agoBought Down at 49¢$5
  • 1 hour agoBought Down at 49¢$5
  • 2 hours agoBought Up at 52¢$50

Rules

How this market is decided

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on September 18 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on September 18 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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