Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brady Hiestand and Rinya Nakamura at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.