Skip to content
Back to event

PolymarketPolymarket· Weather · Recurring · rain

Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on September 16?

Chance

50%

Buy Yes

99.8¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.9¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Sep 17, 6:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 6 hours agoSold Yes at 72¢$4
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 71¢$7
  • 8 hours agoBought No at 22¢$3
  • 11 hours agoBought No at 31¢$1
  • 11 hours agoSold Yes at 63¢$4
  • 11 hours agoSold Yes at 63¢$11
  • 12 hours agoSold Yes at 68¢$7
  • 14 hours agoBought No at 6¢$1
  • 14 hours agoBought No at 5¢$1
  • 17 hours agoSold No at 1¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on September 16, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX.